EURUSD
CurrenciesEuro firmed as the soft US inflation print took the shine off the dollar — a weaker-dollar day lifts almost everything priced against it.
- Today+0.4%
Soft US CPI; dollar eased across the board.
- Tue−0.3%
Hawkish Fed-speak firmed the dollar briefly.
- 2 wks ago+0.6%
Eurozone growth surprise beat forecasts.
A +0.4% day is a big-ish day for EURUSD.
The world's most-traded pair rarely moves >0.5% in a session — 0.4% is the market paying attention.
When US inflation surprises lower, what actually happens?
Across the soft-CPI surprises since 2023, the S&P rose the same session about 7 times in 10, the 10-year yield fell almost every time, and the dollar weakened. The reaction is real — and it's usually spent within a day or two as the cut-odds reprice.
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